bookelections.com | Election Odds Analysis

Closest seats

1. East Renfrewshire

Party	Win %
SNP	51.2%
Labour	48.8%

2. Northampton North

Party	Win %
Conservatives	51.2%
Labour	48.8%

3. Birmingham, Yardley

Party	Win %
Labour	51.2%
Liberal Democrats	48.8%

4. St Ives

Party	Win %
Liberal Democrats	49.3%
Conservatives	46.9%
UKIP	3.7%

5. Torbay

Party	Win %
Conservatives	49.3%
Liberal Democrats	46.9%
UKIP	3.7%

6. Dunfermline and West Fife

Party	Win %
SNP	52.2%
Labour	47.8%

7. Halesowen and Rowley Regis

Party	Win %
Conservatives	50.5%
Labour	45.9%
UKIP	3.7%

8. North Cornwall

Party	Win %
Liberal Democrats	52.4%
Conservatives	47.6%

9. Edinburgh South

Party	Win %
Labour	52.4%
SNP	47.6%

10. Norwich North

Party	Win %
Conservatives	53.4%
Labour	46.6%

11. Stockton South

Party	Win %
Labour	53.9%
Conservatives	46.1%

12. Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk

Party	Win %
Conservatives	40.5%
Liberal Democrats	32%
SNP	27.5%

13. Rutherglen and Hamilton West

Party	Win %
Labour	54.5%
SNP	45.5%

14. Ipswich

Party	Win %
Labour	54.9%
Conservatives	45.1%

15. Harrow East

Party	Win %
Labour	55%
Conservatives	45%

16. Finchley and Golders Green

Party	Win %
Conservatives	55%
Labour	45%

17. Cheadle

Party	Win %
Liberal Democrats	55.1%
Conservatives	44.9%

18. Pudsey

Party	Win %
Conservatives	56%
Labour	44%

19. Croydon Central

Party	Win %
Conservatives	56%
Labour	44%

20. Nuneaton

Party	Win %
Labour	56.6%
Conservatives	43.4%

21. Brighton, Kemptown

Party	Win %
Labour	57.2%
Conservatives	42.8%

22. Dumfries and Galloway

Party	Win %
SNP	48.5%
Labour	33.8%
Conservatives	17.7%

23. Bradford West

Party	Win %
Respect	57.5%
Labour	42.5%

24. Keighley

Party	Win %
Labour	57.9%
Conservatives	42.1%

25. Stevenage

Party	Win %
Conservatives	58.7%
Labour	41.3%

26. Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill

Party	Win %
SNP	58.8%
Labour	41.2%

27. Brecon and Radnorshire

Party	Win %
Liberal Democrats	59%
Conservatives	41%

28. South Swindon

Party	Win %
Conservatives	59.1%
Labour	40.9%

29. South Thanet

Party	Win %
UKIP	57%
Conservatives	38%
Labour	5%

30. Ceredigion

Party	Win %
Liberal Democrats	59.7%
PC	40.3%

31. Arfon

Party	Win %
PC	60%
Labour	40%

32. Crewe and Nantwich

Party	Win %
Conservatives	60%
Labour	40%

33. Wirral West

Party	Win %
Labour	60.2%
Conservatives	39.8%

34. Rossendale and Darwen

Party	Win %
Conservatives	60.7%
Labour	39.3%

35. Portsmouth South

Party	Win %
Conservatives	56.3%
Liberal Democrats	33.9%
UKIP	6.5%
Labour	3.3%

36. City of Chester

Party	Win %
Labour	61.4%
Conservatives	38.6%

37. East Lothian

Party	Win %
SNP	61.4%
Labour	38.6%

38. Ealing Central and Acton

Party	Win %
Labour	61.4%
Conservatives	38.6%

39. Cannock Chase

Party	Win %
Labour	60.3%
Conservatives	35.5%
UKIP	4.2%

40. Milton Keynes South

Party	Win %
Conservatives	62.5%
Labour	37.5%

41. Peterborough

Party	Win %
Conservatives	62.5%
Labour	37.5%

42. Belfast South

Party	Win %
SDLP	55%
DUP	29.2%
Sinn Fein	11.2%
UUP	4.6%

43. Bermondsey and Old Southwark

Party	Win %
Liberal Democrats	63.1%
Labour	36.9%

44. Gloucester

Party	Win %
Conservatives	63.1%
Labour	36.9%

45. Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire

Party	Win %
Conservatives	63.1%
Labour	36.9%

46. Worcester

Party	Win %
Conservatives	63.5%
Labour	36.5%

47. Glasgow North East

Party	Win %
Labour	63.6%
SNP	36.4%

48. Pendle

Party	Win %
Conservatives	63.6%
Labour	36.4%

49. North Devon

Party	Win %
Conservatives	62.1%
Liberal Democrats	34.7%
UKIP	3.2%

50. Thurrock

Party	Win %
UKIP	55.3%
Labour	27.3%
Conservatives	17.4%

51. Lincoln

Party	Win %
Labour	62.4%
Conservatives	34.1%
UKIP	3.6%

52. Morecambe and Lunesdale

Party	Win %
Labour	64.2%
Conservatives	35.8%

53. Bury North

Party	Win %
Labour	64.2%
Conservatives	35.8%

54. Cheltenham

Party	Win %
Liberal Democrats	64.6%
Conservatives	35.4%

55. Sutton and Cheam

Party	Win %
Liberal Democrats	64.7%
Conservatives	35.3%

56. Cleethorpes

Party	Win %
Conservatives	63.1%
Labour	32.2%
UKIP	4.6%

57. Kingston and Surbiton

Party	Win %
Liberal Democrats	65.5%
Conservatives	34.5%

58. Colne Valley

Party	Win %
Conservatives	65.5%
Labour	34.5%

59. Watford

Party	Win %
Conservatives	59.1%
Liberal Democrats	27.3%
Labour	13.6%

60. Erewash

Party	Win %
Labour	63.6%
Conservatives	31.8%
UKIP	4.6%

61. Blackpool North and Cleveleys

Party	Win %
Conservatives	64.5%
Labour	32.2%
UKIP	3.3%

62. Elmet and Rothwell

Party	Win %
Conservatives	66.2%
Labour	33.8%

63. Amber Valley

Party	Win %
Labour	63.8%
Conservatives	30.9%
UKIP	5.3%

64. Stroud

Party	Win %
Labour	66.7%
Conservatives	33.3%

65. Paisley and Renfrewshire South

Party	Win %
SNP	66.7%
Labour	33.3%

66. South Ribble

Party	Win %
Conservatives	66.7%
Labour	33.3%

67. Boston and Skegness

Party	Win %
Conservatives	66.7%
UKIP	33.3%

68. Glenrothes

Party	Win %
SNP	66.7%
Labour	33.3%

69. High Peak

Party	Win %
Conservatives	66.7%
Labour	33.3%

70. Hastings and Rye

Party	Win %
Labour	65.1%
Conservatives	31.3%
UKIP	3.6%

71. Southampton, Itchen

Party	Win %
Labour	65.5%
Conservatives	30.6%
UKIP	3.9%

72. Ynys Môn (Anglesey)

Party	Win %
Labour	67.5%
PC	32.5%

73. Paisley and Renfrewshire North

Party	Win %
SNP	67.5%
Labour	32.5%

74. Broxtowe

Party	Win %
Labour	67.5%
Conservatives	32.5%

75. Bedford

Party	Win %
Labour	68.2%
Conservatives	31.8%

76. Fermanagh and South Tyrone

Party	Win %
Sinn Fein	68.2%
UUP	31.8%

77. Central Ayrshire

Party	Win %
SNP	68.2%
Labour	31.8%

78. Dudley South

Party	Win %
Conservatives	66.3%
Labour	29.5%
UKIP	4.1%

79. Castle Point

Party	Win %
Conservatives	68.4%
UKIP	31.6%

80. Wyre Forest

Party	Win %
Conservatives	62.9%
Other	26%
UKIP	11.1%

81. Great Yarmouth

Party	Win %
Conservatives	65.9%
Labour	28.3%
UKIP	5.8%

82. Eastbourne

Party	Win %
Liberal Democrats	68.9%
Conservatives	31.1%

83. Leeds North West

Party	Win %
Liberal Democrats	69.2%
Labour	30.8%

84. Calder Valley

Party	Win %
Conservatives	69.2%
Labour	30.8%

85. Rochester and Strood

Party	Win %
Conservatives	69.2%
UKIP	30.8%

86. Hove

Party	Win %
Labour	69.2%
Conservatives	30.8%

87. Upper Bann

Party	Win %
DUP	66.2%
UUP	27.4%
Sinn Fein	6.4%

88. Warrington South

Party	Win %
Labour	69.9%
Conservatives	30.1%

89. Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale

Party	Win %
SNP	69.9%
Conservatives	30.1%

90. Bath

Party	Win %
Liberal Democrats	69.9%
Conservatives	30.1%

91. Carlisle

Party	Win %
Labour	69.9%
Conservatives	30.1%

92. Dewsbury

Party	Win %
Labour	69.9%
Conservatives	30.1%

93. Stourbridge

Party	Win %
Conservatives	70%
Labour	30%

94. Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath

Party	Win %
SNP	70.2%
Labour	29.8%

95. Hornsey and Wood Green

Party	Win %
Labour	70.4%
Liberal Democrats	29.6%

96. Aberconwy

Party	Win %
Conservatives	68.3%
Labour	27.4%
PC	4.2%

97. East Dunbartonshire

Party	Win %
SNP	68.8%
Liberal Democrats	27.6%
Labour	3.7%

98. Edinburgh North and Leith

Party	Win %
SNP	71.4%
Labour	28.6%

99. Hazel Grove

Party	Win %
Liberal Democrats	71.4%
Conservatives	28.6%

100. Montgomeryshire

Party	Win %
Conservatives	71.4%
Liberal Democrats	28.6%

101. Wells

Party	Win %
Conservatives	71.4%
Liberal Democrats	28.6%

102. Ilford North

Party	Win %
Conservatives	71.9%
Labour	28.1%

103. Cambridge

Party	Win %
Liberal Democrats	71.9%
Labour	28.1%

104. Taunton Deane

Party	Win %
Conservatives	70.3%
Liberal Democrats	26.3%
UKIP	3.3%

105. Glasgow North West

Party	Win %
SNP	72.4%
Labour	27.6%

106. South Antrim

Party	Win %
DUP	72.4%
UUP	27.6%

107. Weaver Vale

Party	Win %
Labour	72.4%
Conservatives	27.6%

108. Eastleigh

Party	Win %
Liberal Democrats	67.6%
Conservatives	22.6%
UKIP	9.8%

109. Southport

Party	Win %
Liberal Democrats	71.3%
Conservatives	25%
UKIP	3.8%

110. Warwick and Leamington

Party	Win %
Conservatives	73.3%
Labour	26.7%

111. Waveney

Party	Win %
Labour	70.8%
Conservatives	24.1%
UKIP	5.1%

112. Plymouth, Sutton and Devonport

Party	Win %
Labour	71.1%
Conservatives	24.2%
UKIP	4.7%

113. Berwick-upon-Tweed

Party	Win %
Conservatives	73.5%
Liberal Democrats	26.5%

114. Loughborough

Party	Win %
Conservatives	73.7%
Labour	26.3%

115. East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow

Party	Win %
SNP	73.7%
Labour	26.3%

116. St Austell and Newquay

Party	Win %
Conservatives	69.5%
Liberal Democrats	21.9%
UKIP	8.6%

117. Sherwood

Party	Win %
Labour	72.3%
Conservatives	24.1%
UKIP	3.7%

118. Kingswood

Party	Win %
Conservatives	74.1%
Labour	25.9%

119. Chippenham

Party	Win %
Conservatives	74.6%
Liberal Democrats	25.4%

120. North Warwickshire

Party	Win %
Labour	72.8%
Conservatives	22.9%
UKIP	4.3%