bookelections.com | Election Odds Analysis

Likely swing seats

Seat	Last Win	2015 Favourite	Loss %
1. Norwich South	Liberal Democrats	Labour	95.3%
2. Argyll and Bute	Liberal Democrats	SNP	94.1%
3. Dundee West	Labour	SNP	92.6%
4. Brent Central	Liberal Democrats	Labour	92.4%
5. West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine	Liberal Democrats	SNP	92.3%
6. Redcar	Liberal Democrats	Labour	92%
7. Ochil and South Perthshire	Labour	SNP	91.2%
8. Manchester Withington	Liberal Democrats	Labour	91.2%
9. Falkirk	Labour	SNP	89.1%
10. North Ayrshire and Arran	Labour	SNP	87.8%
11. Glasgow South	Labour	SNP	87.8%
12. Burnley	Liberal Democrats	Labour	87.7%
13. Bristol West	Liberal Democrats	Labour	87.3%
14. Kilmarnock and Loudoun	Labour	SNP	86.3%
15. Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and Strathspey	Liberal Democrats	SNP	86.2%
16. Edinburgh East	Labour	SNP	86.2%
17. Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East	Labour	SNP	86.2%
18. Edinburgh West	Liberal Democrats	SNP	86.1%
19. Glasgow North	Labour	SNP	85.7%
20. Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock	Labour	SNP	85.3%
21. Livingston	Labour	SNP	85.2%
22. Midlothian	Labour	SNP	84.9%
23. Lanark and Hamilton East	Labour	SNP	84.8%
24. Gordon	Liberal Democrats	SNP	84.8%
25. Stirling	Labour	SNP	84.8%
26. North East Fife	Liberal Democrats	SNP	84.8%
27. Aberdeen North	Labour	SNP	84.4%
28. Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross	Liberal Democrats	SNP	84%
29. Belfast East	APNI	DUP	83.7%
30. West Dunbartonshire	Labour	SNP	83.7%
31. Glasgow East	Labour	SNP	83.7%
32. Thurrock	Conservatives	UKIP	82.6%
33. Glasgow South West	Labour	SNP	82.5%
34. Solihull	Liberal Democrats	Conservatives	82.4%
35. Mid Dorset and North Poole	Liberal Democrats	Conservatives	80.7%
36. Hendon	Conservatives	Labour	80.4%
37. Brentford and Isleworth	Conservatives	Labour	80%
38. Somerton and Frome	Liberal Democrats	Conservatives	79%
39. Cardiff Central	Liberal Democrats	Labour	78.9%
40. Airdrie and Shotts	Labour	SNP	78.7%
41. Linlithgow and East Falkirk	Labour	SNP	78.3%
42. Aberdeen South	Labour	SNP	78.3%
43. St Austell and Newquay	Liberal Democrats	Conservatives	78.1%
44. Edinburgh South West	Labour	SNP	77.8%
45. Glasgow Central	Labour	SNP	77.8%
46. Wolverhampton South West	Conservatives	Labour	77.6%
47. Cardiff North	Conservatives	Labour	77.6%
48. North Warwickshire	Conservatives	Labour	77.1%
49. Motherwell and Wishaw	Labour	SNP	76.9%
50. Sherwood	Conservatives	Labour	75.9%
51. Waveney	Conservatives	Labour	75.9%
52. Plymouth, Sutton and Devonport	Conservatives	Labour	75.8%
53. Enfield North	Conservatives	Labour	75.8%
54. Ross, Skye and Lochaber	Liberal Democrats	SNP	75.7%
55. Bradford East	Liberal Democrats	Labour	75.7%
56. Inverclyde	Labour	SNP	75.7%
57. Lancaster and Fleetwood	Conservatives	Labour	75.5%
58. Chippenham	Liberal Democrats	Conservatives	74.6%
59. Taunton Deane	Liberal Democrats	Conservatives	73.7%
60. East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow	Labour	SNP	73.7%
61. Berwick-upon-Tweed	Liberal Democrats	Conservatives	73.5%
62. East Dunbartonshire	Liberal Democrats	SNP	72.4%
63. Weaver Vale	Conservatives	Labour	72.4%
64. Glasgow North West	Labour	SNP	72.4%
65. Edinburgh North and Leith	Labour	SNP	71.4%
66. Wells	Liberal Democrats	Conservatives	71.4%
67. Hornsey and Wood Green	Liberal Democrats	Labour	70.4%
68. Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath	Labour	SNP	70.2%
69. Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale	Conservatives	SNP	69.9%
70. Dewsbury	Conservatives	Labour	69.9%
71. Carlisle	Conservatives	Labour	69.9%
72. Warrington South	Conservatives	Labour	69.9%
73. Hove	Conservatives	Labour	69.2%
74. Rochester and Strood	UKIP	Conservatives	69.2%
75. Amber Valley	Conservatives	Labour	69.1%
76. Hastings and Rye	Conservatives	Labour	68.7%
77. Bedford	Conservatives	Labour	68.2%
78. Erewash	Conservatives	Labour	68.2%
79. Central Ayrshire	Labour	SNP	68.2%
80. Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk	Liberal Democrats	Conservatives	68%
81. Paisley and Renfrewshire North	Labour	SNP	67.5%
82. Broxtowe	Conservatives	Labour	67.5%
83. Glenrothes	Labour	SNP	66.7%
84. Stroud	Conservatives	Labour	66.7%
85. Paisley and Renfrewshire South	Labour	SNP	66.7%
86. Dumfries and Galloway	Labour	SNP	66.2%
87. Portsmouth South	Liberal Democrats	Conservatives	66.1%
88. Lincoln	Conservatives	Labour	65.9%
89. North Devon	Liberal Democrats	Conservatives	65.3%
90. Cannock Chase	Conservatives	Labour	64.5%
91. Morecambe and Lunesdale	Conservatives	Labour	64.2%
92. Bury North	Conservatives	Labour	64.2%
93. South Thanet	Conservatives	UKIP	62%
94. Ealing Central and Acton	Conservatives	Labour	61.4%
95. City of Chester	Conservatives	Labour	61.4%
96. East Lothian	Labour	SNP	61.4%
97. Wirral West	Conservatives	Labour	60.2%
98. Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill	Labour	SNP	58.8%
99. Keighley	Conservatives	Labour	57.9%
100. Brighton, Kemptown	Conservatives	Labour	57.2%
101. Nuneaton	Conservatives	Labour	56.6%
102. Harrow East	Conservatives	Labour	55%
103. Ipswich	Conservatives	Labour	54.9%
104. Stockton South	Conservatives	Labour	53.9%
105. Torbay	Liberal Democrats	Conservatives	53.1%
106. Dunfermline and West Fife	Labour	SNP	52.2%
107. East Renfrewshire	Labour	SNP	51.2%
108. Birmingham, Yardley	Liberal Democrats	Labour	51.2%