Parties

Liberal Democrats

Likely losses

Seat2015 FavouriteLoss %
1. Norwich SouthLabour95.3%
2. Argyll and ButeSNP94.1%
3. Brent CentralLabour92.4%
4. West Aberdeenshire and KincardineSNP92.3%
5. RedcarLabour92%
6. Manchester WithingtonLabour91.2%
7. BurnleyLabour87.7%
8. Bristol WestLabour87.3%
9. Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and StrathspeySNP86.2%
10. Edinburgh WestSNP86.1%
11. GordonSNP84.8%
12. North East FifeSNP84.8%
13. Caithness, Sutherland and Easter RossSNP84%
14. SolihullConservatives82.4%
15. Mid Dorset and North PooleConservatives80.7%
16. Somerton and FromeConservatives79%
17. Cardiff CentralLabour78.9%
18. St Austell and NewquayConservatives78.1%
19. Ross, Skye and LochaberSNP75.7%
20. Bradford EastLabour75.7%
21. ChippenhamConservatives74.6%
22. Taunton DeaneConservatives73.7%
23. Berwick-upon-TweedConservatives73.5%
24. East DunbartonshireSNP72.4%
25. WellsConservatives71.4%
26. Hornsey and Wood GreenLabour70.4%
27. Berwickshire, Roxburgh and SelkirkConservatives68%
28. Portsmouth SouthConservatives66.1%
29. North DevonConservatives65.3%
30. TorbayConservatives53.1%
31. Birmingham, YardleyLabour51.2%

Likely gains

None

Potential seats (by probability)

SeatLast Win2015 FavouriteWin %
1. Westmorland and LonsdaleLiberal DemocratsLiberal Democrats89.3%
2. North NorfolkLiberal DemocratsLiberal Democrats85.8%
3. TwickenhamLiberal DemocratsLiberal Democrats82.6%
4. ColchesterLiberal DemocratsLiberal Democrats81.8%
5. Orkney and ShetlandLiberal DemocratsLiberal Democrats80.6%
6. LewesLiberal DemocratsLiberal Democrats78.3%
7. Sheffield, HallamLiberal DemocratsLiberal Democrats78.3%
8. Thornbury and YateLiberal DemocratsLiberal Democrats77.8%
9. Carshalton and WallingtonLiberal DemocratsLiberal Democrats75.7%
10. YeovilLiberal DemocratsLiberal Democrats74.4%
11. CambridgeLiberal DemocratsLiberal Democrats71.9%
12. Hazel GroveLiberal DemocratsLiberal Democrats71.4%
13. SouthportLiberal DemocratsLiberal Democrats71.3%
14. BathLiberal DemocratsLiberal Democrats69.9%
15. Leeds North WestLiberal DemocratsLiberal Democrats69.2%
16. EastbourneLiberal DemocratsLiberal Democrats68.9%
17. EastleighLiberal DemocratsLiberal Democrats67.6%
18. Kingston and SurbitonLiberal DemocratsLiberal Democrats65.5%
19. Sutton and CheamLiberal DemocratsLiberal Democrats64.7%
20. CheltenhamLiberal DemocratsLiberal Democrats64.6%
21. Bermondsey and Old SouthwarkLiberal DemocratsLiberal Democrats63.1%
22. CeredigionLiberal DemocratsLiberal Democrats59.7%
23. Brecon and RadnorshireLiberal DemocratsLiberal Democrats59%
24. CheadleLiberal DemocratsLiberal Democrats55.1%
25. North CornwallLiberal DemocratsLiberal Democrats52.4%
26. St IvesLiberal DemocratsLiberal Democrats49.3%
27. Birmingham, YardleyLiberal DemocratsLabour48.8%
28. TorbayLiberal DemocratsConservatives46.9%
29. North DevonLiberal DemocratsConservatives34.7%
30. Portsmouth SouthLiberal DemocratsConservatives33.9%
31. Berwickshire, Roxburgh and SelkirkLiberal DemocratsConservatives32%
32. Hornsey and Wood GreenLiberal DemocratsLabour29.6%
33. WellsLiberal DemocratsConservatives28.6%
34. MontgomeryshireConservativesConservatives28.6%
35. East DunbartonshireLiberal DemocratsSNP27.6%
36. WatfordConservativesConservatives27.3%
37. Berwick-upon-TweedLiberal DemocratsConservatives26.5%
38. Taunton DeaneLiberal DemocratsConservatives26.3%
39. ChippenhamLiberal DemocratsConservatives25.4%
40. Bradford EastLiberal DemocratsLabour24.3%
41. Ross, Skye and LochaberLiberal DemocratsSNP24.3%
42. Maidstone and The WealdConservativesConservatives22.2%
43. St Austell and NewquayLiberal DemocratsConservatives21.9%
44. Cardiff CentralLiberal DemocratsLabour21.1%
45. Somerton and FromeLiberal DemocratsConservatives21%
46. Mid Dorset and North PooleLiberal DemocratsConservatives19.3%
47. SolihullLiberal DemocratsConservatives17.6%
48. Oxford West and AbingdonConservativesConservatives17.4%
49. Caithness, Sutherland and Easter RossLiberal DemocratsSNP16%
50. North East FifeLiberal DemocratsSNP15.2%
51. GordonLiberal DemocratsSNP15.2%
52. Truro and FalmouthConservativesConservatives14.9%
53. Edinburgh WestLiberal DemocratsSNP13.9%
54. Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and StrathspeyLiberal DemocratsSNP13.8%
55. Bristol WestLiberal DemocratsLabour12.7%
56. BurnleyLiberal DemocratsLabour12.3%
57. South East CornwallConservativesConservatives12%
58. WinchesterConservativesConservatives10.9%
59. St AlbansConservativesConservatives10.6%
60. Newton AbbotConservativesConservatives10.5%
61. Newcastle upon Tyne NorthLabourLabour9.4%
62. Hereford and South HerefordshireConservativesConservatives8.9%
63. Newport EastLabourLabour8.8%
64. ChesterfieldLabourLabour8.8%
65. West DorsetConservativesConservatives8.8%
66. Harrogate and KnaresboroughConservativesConservatives8.8%
67. Manchester WithingtonLiberal DemocratsLabour8.8%
68. Richmond ParkConservativesConservatives8.7%
69. RedcarLiberal DemocratsLabour8%
70. Torridge and West DevonConservativesConservatives7.8%
71. West Aberdeenshire and KincardineLiberal DemocratsSNP7.7%
72. Swansea WestLabourLabour7.6%
73. Brent CentralLiberal DemocratsLabour7.6%
74. City of DurhamLabourLabour7.4%
75. TotnesConservativesConservatives7.2%
76. RochdaleLabourLabour7.2%
77. Romsey and Southampton NorthConservativesConservatives7.1%
78. South East CambridgeshireConservativesConservatives6.3%
79. Argyll and ButeLiberal DemocratsSNP5.9%
80. AshfieldLabourLabour5.8%
81. StreathamLabourLabour5.7%
82. PontypriddLabourLabour5.7%
83. Oxford EastLabourLabour5.7%
84. Hampstead and KilburnLabourLabour5.6%
85. BosworthConservativesConservatives5.5%
86. WokingConservativesConservatives5.2%
87. ChelmsfordConservativesConservatives5.2%
88. Weston-Super-MareConservativesConservatives5.1%
89. York OuterConservativesConservatives5.1%
90. South CambridgeshireConservativesConservatives5%
91. Sheffield CentralLabourLabour5%
92. Camborne and RedruthConservativesConservatives4.8%
93. Norwich SouthLiberal DemocratsLabour4.7%
94. Oldham East and SaddleworthLabourLabour4.7%
95. HarboroughConservativesConservatives4.7%
96. Kingston upon Hull NorthLabourLabour4.6%
97. BroadlandConservativesConservatives4.5%
98. GuildfordConservativesConservatives4.5%
99. North WiltshireConservativesConservatives4.2%
100. West WorcestershireConservativesConservatives4.1%
101. North DorsetConservativesConservatives4%
102. SalisburyConservativesConservatives3.7%
103. The CotswoldsConservativesConservatives3.7%
104. North HerefordshireConservativesConservatives3.7%
105. Bournemouth EastConservativesConservatives3.6%
106. NewburyConservativesConservatives3.6%
107. Merthyr Tydfil and RhymneyLabourLabour3.6%
108. TewkesburyConservativesConservatives3.6%
109. Islington South and FinsburyLabourLabour3.4%
110. HuntingdonConservativesConservatives3.3%
111. Mid SussexConservativesConservatives3.2%
112. GainsboroughConservativesConservatives3.2%
113. Bridgwater and West SomersetConservativesConservatives3.2%
114. LudlowConservativesConservatives3.2%
115. HorshamConservativesConservatives3.2%